NH House year Actual vote*
(% GOP of
2-party vote)
Final poll
generic ballot
(%)
Final poll
undecideds
allocated (%)
Vote –
predicted
vote (%)
Vote – allocated
predicted vote
(%)
2000 60 54 53 6 7
2002 60 56 55 4 5
2004 55 51 51 4 4
2006 47 43 45 4 2
2008 48 44 44 4 4
2010 60 56 57 4 3
Mean error (absolute value) 4.3 4.2

NH Senate
year
Actual vote*
(% GOP of
2-party vote)
Final poll
generic ballot
(%)
Final poll
undecideds
allocated (%)
Vote –
predicted
vote (%)
Vote – allocated
predicted vote
(%)

2000 51 52 51 –1 0
2002 58 55 55 3 3
2004 54 51 50 3 4
2006 46 44 45 2 1
2008 48 43 44 5 4
2010 58 56 56 2 2
Mean error (absolute value) 2.7 2.3