NH House
year
Actual
GOP house
seats
Model
predicted seats
(unallocated)
Seats –
predicted
(unallocated)
Model
predicted seats
(allocated)
Seats –
predicted
(allocated)
2000 257 265 –8 262 –5
2002 282 283 –1 283 –1
2004 250 238 12 240 10
2006 160 166 –6 175 15
2008 176 175 1 165 11
2010 298 288 10 294 4
Mean error (absolute value) 6.3 7.7
Standard deviation 9.3 10.3

NH Senate
year
Actual
GOP
senate seats
Model:
predicted seats
(unallocated)
Seats –
predicted
(unallocated)
Model:
predicted seats
(allocated)
Seats –
predicted
(allocated)

2000 13 15 –2 15 –2
2002 18 17 1 18 0
2004 15 14 1 15 0
2006 9 10 –1 9 0
2008 10 9 1 8 2
2010 19 18 1 18 1
Mean error (absolute value) 1.2 0.8
Standard deviation 1.3 1.3