| 1 |
Age by education, sex, geography |
2.58
(2.93, 1.30 – 4.56) |
4.08
(4.08, 1.46 – 6.71) |
1.34
(1.34, 1.25 – 1.43) |
1.41
(1.42, 1.24 – 1.59) |
4.29
(4.33, 1.90 – 6.76) |
| 2 |
Age by education, sex, geography and short-term recall of past vote |
1.41
(1.81, 0.47 – 3.15) |
2.41
(2.39, 0.12 – 4.67) |
1.22
(1.22, 1.07 – 1.36) |
1.14
(1.14, 0.88 – 1.41) |
2.70
(2.76, 0.84 – 4.68) |
| 3 |
Age by education, sex, geography and long term |
2.95
(3.06, 1.59 – 4.53) |
4.45
(4.44, 2.35 – 6.52) |
1.07
(1.07, 0.94 – 1.20) |
0.90
(0.90, 0.68 – 1.12) |
4.57
(4.57, 2.57 – 6.58) |
| 4 |
Age by education, sex, geography and blended estimate of past vote term |
2.54
(2.68, 1.14 – 4.22) |
3.92
(3.89, 1.64 – 6.15) |
1.16
(1.16, 1.02 – 1.30) |
1.04
(1.05, 0.79 – 1.30) |
4.09
(4.08, 1.96 – 6.20) |
| 5 |
Weighting by short-term past vote only |
0.20
(0.82, 0.04 – 1.60) |
0.64
(0.89, -0.37 – 2.15) |
0.90
(0.90, 0.86 – 0.93) |
0.61
(0.61, 0.56 – 0.65) |
1.10
(1.34, 0.43 – 2.25) |
| 6 |
Weighting by long-term past vote only |
1.76
(1.85, 0.70 – 3.00) |
2.80
(2.80, 1.19 – 4.42) |
0.82
(0.82, 0.78 – 0.86) |
0.52
(0.52, 0.47 – 0.57) |
2.92
(2.93, 1.41 – 4.46) |
| 7 |
Weighted by blended measure of past vote only |
1.01
(1.17, 0.09 – 2.25) |
1.84
(1.84, 0.19 – 3.49) |
0.87
(0.87, 0.83 – 0.91) |
0.58
(0.58, 0.53 – 0.62) |
2.03
(2.08, 0.66 – 3.51) |